Mike Rowbottom: The London 2012 magic is over for Farah, Weir, Wiggins...but what about Bolt?

Mike Rowbottom

mikepoloneckAs far as followers of British sport are concerned, 2013 has so far proved to be a reality checkpoint.

Less than a year on from the heady glories of the London 2012 Games, many of the home icons from that unforgettable summer are experiencing one of sport's essential truths: the problem with winning is that people expect you to keep on doing it.

Thus in Eugene, Oregon last week, Mo Farah made the headlines in failing to win the 5,000 metres as he made his IAAF Diamond League season's debut in his home-town event. The double Olympic champion managed a season's best time of 13min 05.88sec, but Kenya's Edwin Soi finished just over a second ahead of him.

In the same event last year, which came shortly before the Olympics, the Londoner had won in a time of 12:56.98, the fastest time ever run in the United States. There were mitigating circumstances. Farah had been suffering from a stomach virus in preceding weeks and had made the late decision to switch from the 10,000m on the previous day in order to give himself an extra chance to rest.

But the headlines around the world told a harsh story - Farah suffers first outdoor defeat since 2011. And Soi's victory underlined the fact that, for those who have reached the peak of their event, the world becomes full of those eager to prove a point. For Farah, maintaining a grip on two events which seethe with African talent is an enormous challenge.

mo5keugeneMo Farah in Eugene last week en route to his first track defeat since 2011

Last summer, the words Dave, Weir and London meant only one thing: gold. But despite his insistence before this year's Virgin London Marathon, where he was seeking to go one better than the record of six wheelchair victories which he shares with fellow Briton Tanni Grey-Thompson, that he was in better shape than he had been at the same stage in the previous year, Weir's final surge in the Mall proved insufficient as four others moved past him, headed by his old bête noire Kurt Fearnley.

Weir insisted he would "bounce back." Farah tweeted a couple of hours after his race in the heartland of his sponsors, Nike: "I'll be back for sure." No doubt both are correct. But for both, the magic spell of 2012 has been broken.

As it has, indeed, for the man who could do no wrong last year - Sir Bradley Wiggins. For those who lauded his achievements in becoming the first Briton to win the Tour de France and following up with gold in the Olympic time trial, the twists and turns of Wiggins' fortunes in 2012 have been painful to witness.

Choosing to focus on the Giro d'Italia rather than the Tour seemed, when it was announced, like a pretty cool move. Why not gather the only remaining big title missing?

But Wiggins is too much of a champion to restrict his ambitions, and before long the 33-year-old was making it clear that he fancied defending his Tour title, and doing so as Team Sky's top rider - a position which appeared to have been promised to the fellow Brit who had worked with the rest of the team on his behalf in 2012, Chris Froome.

While the 28-year-old Kenyan-born rider's labours on his team's behalf were impressive last year, there was a clear and growing sense that payback would be required - Froome at the Top.

When the Wiggins ground to a halt in the Giro, being forced to pull out with a chest infection and an underlying knee problem it was bad enough. But the coup de grace came within a fortnight, when it was confirmed that he was not in sufficient shape to ride the Tour anyway.

That saved much awkwardness, as the Team Sky general manager Dave Brailsford - Wiggins's old Olympic boss - had proved as unrelenting in his pragmatism as his rowing counterpart, Jurgen Grobler, in nominating the younger rider for the lead position at the Tour.

wigginsgiroSir Bradley Wiggins, ill and injured, failing to enjoy the rainswept Giro d'Italia before pulling out last month

The message from Wiggins - "I'll get this sorted" - carries the same defiance as those from Farah and Weir. And who would bet against him doing so? But again, the magic has been dispelled.

How do you avoid that harsh experience? Well, Wiggins's former Olympic team-mate and fellow knight of the realm, Chris Hoy, chose the only certain method. Having added another couple of golds in London to the four he had already collected at previous Olympic Games, the 37-year-old Scot retired.

While his announcement in April, eight months on from his London victories, may have disappointed the organisers of the Glasgow 2014 Commonwealth Games - who hoped he would provide one last hurrah on home soil at the new velodrome named after him - it was clearly thoroughly considered.

Hoy elected to leave on a high. It's a fine strategy. Perhaps its finest exponent was the Australian, Herb Elliott, who retired aged 24 in 1962 having been unbeaten at the mile and 1500m since 1957. He left the sport as world record holder at both distances, and as Olympic champion.

herbelliott1960Herb Elliott stays ahead of all opposition to win the 1960 Olympic 1500m gold in Rome

Elliott's record is perfect, and you can't improve upon perfection. But you can extend it. Which is what Usain Bolt is trying to do.

Today, the man who retained his Olympic 100 and 200m titles in London takes his first serious steps in seeking to maintain his pre-eminence at this summer's IAAF World Championships in Moscow as he runs in the Diamond League 100m at the Olympic Stadium in Rome where Elliott effectively bowed out of top class competition.

At the age of 26 - how can he only be 26??? - the ever-amiable Jamaican superstar has announced he intends to remain the fastest man on the planet up to and including the 2016 Rio Olympics. It's quite some ambition for a man who, after his startling breakthrough at the 2008 Beijing Games, spoke fondly about getting a job where he could put his feet up and take things easy.

boltwinslondonUsain Bolt celebrates his third gold of the London 2012 Olympics after anchoring Jamaica to victory in the sprint relay in a world record of 36.84sec

Bolt's record fall short of the Elliott Standard in terms of infallibility - he was beaten by Tyson Gay over 100m in 2010, he was disqualified for false-starting in the 100m at the last World Championships in Daegu, and, a few months before retaining his Olympic titles, had suffered a potentially demoralising defeat on home soil by the younger compatriot who had taken that world 100m title, Yohan Blake.

But these are blips in a passage of glory. Now that Tiger Woods has dipped away from the heights he once occupied, Bolt is probably the most pressurised individual sportsman in the world - pressurised, that is, by the expectation he has created himself by his excellence.

The latest challenger to his brilliance - the ever-talkative American Justin Gatlin, back in the sport after a lengthy doping ban - stands ready to apply the dimmer switch in Rome.

Given Bolt's year so far - victory at the Cayman Invitational event on May 9 in 10.09, his slowest ever 100m time, following early-season hamstring problems - this might be an opportunity for his 31-year-old opponent, who ran 9.88 at the Eugene meeting where Farah was eclipsed, to impose what would no doubt be a gleefully celebrated coup.

If that happens, you can be sure there will be a defiant message emanating from Bolt of the kind already offered by Farah, Weir and Wiggins. But first, Gatlin has to find a way of beating him. And that, as a generation of sprinters can testify, is beyond elusive.

Mike Rowbottom, one of Britain's most talented sportswriters, covered the London 2012 Olympics and Paralympics as chief feature writer for insidethegames, having covered the previous five summer Games, and four winter Games, for The Independent. He has worked for the Daily Mail, The Times, The Observer, The Sunday Correspondent and The Guardian. To follow him on Twitter click here.

Yang Hak-Seon: Looking forward to continuing Korea's fine Universiade tradition at Kazan 2013

Duncan Mackay
Yang Hak-Seon profileWith the Summer Universiade, the festival of college sports, occurring this July in Kazan, Russia, the national Korean team, at the Taereung training centre, is in full training mode.

Even though I have experienced many international events such as the World Championships, Asian Games, and Olympics, this upcoming Universiade has a special meaning for me.

It is the first Universiade that I will be taking part in as a university student, and I also have the huge responsibility of fulfilling my position as the honorary ambassador of the next host city, 2015 Gwangju Universiade. Many talented Russian gymnasts are expected to participate in the Kazan Universiade which will provide a high level of competition.

The Universiade is a competition event held biannually and with the participants being amateur college athletes between the ages 17 to 28, it can be called a commercial-free Olympics. Since professional athletes are not eligible to participate, it creates an atmosphere of genuine sports spirit, as well as providing a scene of global friendship and unity between the young athletes from around the world.

I believe the Universiade has always played an important role in the history of Korean sports by discovering new star athletes as well as providing the opportunity for rookie athletes to advance globally. Korea first became associated with the Summer Universiade in 1959 at the first Games, held in Turin.

Yang Hak-Sun with London 2012 Olympic gold medalYang Hak-Seon celebrates becoming the first South Korean gymnast to win an Olympic gold medal, in the vault at London 2012

The first Korean gold medal came from the women's basketball team in the fifth Tokyo Summer Universiade, in 1967, just eight years later. This preceded the gold medal won by wrestler, Yang Jung-Mo at the Montreal Olympics, in 1976, and is recorded as the first gold medal that came out of a Summer Olympiad for the Korean team.

Universiade is especially meaningful to Korean gymnastics, as Korea's legendary gymnast Yeo Hong-Chul won the very first Korean gold medal in gymnastics at the Sheffield Summer Universiade in 1991. He continued his winning streak with a silver medal at the Buffalo Summer Universiade in 1993, another silver medal at the Atlanta Olympics in 1996, and a gold medal at the Bangkok Asian Games in 1998, bringing a great change to the history of gymnastics in Korea.

Also, at the 2003 Daegu Universiade, Yang Tae-Young won four gold medals in the team and individual events, winning the most medals and becoming the biggest star of the Games.

The Universiade has become a stage for many athletes to make a name for themselves. Canada's Ben Johnson in athletics, Russia's Chou Chou Nova and Romania's Nadia Comăneci in gymnastics are some names that have graced the Universiade as well as Korean national marathon hero, Hwang Young-cho, who won at Sheffield in 1991 and the following year, in Barcelona, claimed the Olympic gold medal.

World Student Games Sheffield 1991Sheffield hosted the Universiade in 1991, where South Korea's Hwang Young-cho won the marathon, a year before he claimed Olympic gold in Barcelona

The 2015 Gwangju Summer Universiade, which will be held in two years time, will serve as a stage for young athletes to develop and advance globally. The rookies wishing to make an international profile through the Gwangju Universiade, as well as those wishing to advance to the Rio Olympics in 2016, are putting their full effort in training at the Taereung training centre and preparing for the moment to shine a light on their passion and youth.

For the athletes to fully perform at the best of their ability and compete with worldwide athletes in Gwangju, construction of infrastructure, development of talented athletes, and continued support and attention from the public is necessary.

As a participant of the Kazan Universiade and an honorary ambassador of the 2015 Gwangju Universiade, I am excited to see whether another star athlete will be born through the future Universiades. I hope that through the 2015 Gwangju Universiade, Korea, as well as the whole world, has the opportunity to write a new chapter in the history of sports.

Yang Hak-Seon is the first South Korean gymnast to win an Olympic gold medal, in the vault at London 2012. He is an Honorary Ambassador for the 2015 Summer Universiade in Gwangju

David Owen: Cookson's wholesome recipe for cycling renewal

Emily Goddard
David Owen ITGIt was with an air of genuine anticipation that I headed to a chic bar on London's Aldwych to meet the man who would be boss of world cycling.

Brian Cookson, 62 in a couple of weeks, should have plenty in his favour in his forthcoming joust with Pat McQuaid, the incumbent International Cycling Union (UCI) President.

It is hard to dispute that the credibility of world cycling's present leadership is at a particularly low ebb.

Cookson, meanwhile, has presided at British Cycling over a resurrection to rank with the most remarkable in world sport - seemingly demonstrating in the process that drug-free success, even dominance, is possible in a drug-addled sphere.

Brian Cookson 050613Brian Cookson should have plenty in his favour as he runs for Presidency of the UCI

And yet I left the briefing far from convinced that the former executive director of regeneration at Pendle Borough Council has what it is likely to take to emerge victorious from the all-important election in Florence in September.

I hope I am wrong – and this is very much a superficial impression, not one built up over decades of close scrutiny of the ins and outs of cycling politics – but I walked out of the meeting wondering whether, nice guy though he obviously is, Cookson possesses the toughness or tactical nous typically needed to prevail in tussles for the top seats in global sports administration.

This can be a harsh and bruising world, as Paul King, another likeable Englishman, discovered when he ran for the Presidency of AIBA, the international boxing association.

I wasn't even completely convinced that this was a challenge that Cookson wanted, in his bones, to mount.

The official announcement of his candidacy stated, slightly oddly, that Cookson was "willing to offer himself" as a candidate for the UCI Presidency.

I wouldn't necessarily read too much into that; these formal statements can seem stilted.

But it hardly makes it sound as though this is an opportunity he relishes, or a destiny he has been preparing all his life to fulfil.

It also bothers me that Cookson, in spite of spending 17 years as President, receives so little credit for the extraordinary success story that is British Cycling.

This may not be true inside cycling, but if you asked the typical armchair sports fan who was responsible for the sport's revival, I doubt that Cookson's name would be among the first dozen mentioned.

Pat McQuaid 050613Brian Cookson is challenging incumbent Pat McQuaid, who's credibility is at a low ebb

You may feel that this is both as it should be and the inexorable fate of decent, competent sports administrators.

That may be so, but there is no way that the real masters of the craft of sports politics would let such an outstanding feat pass by without securing for themselves a large chunk of the credit.

Having said all that, it could be that the timing is right and that world cycling is ready for a dose of the sort of uncomplicated wholesomeness that Cookson appears to represent.

I jotted down four or five sentences from the briefing to build up a picture of the ground the British challenger is seeking to occupy.

Brian Cookson says hisBrian Cookson says he is "just a guy who got involved in cycling because I loved the sport"




"I am not the sort of person who wants to do anything behind closed doors"; "I'm just a guy who got involved in cycling because I loved the sport"; "My natural modus operandi is to be a peacemaker rather than a street-fighter"; "I am not going to engage in any mudslinging".

What's not to like?

But also, is that the way high-stakes international sports politics tends to operate in the big, bad, real world?

"This is like the worst job interview I have ever had," Cookson quipped, as the gaggle of journalists descended on the boardroom-style table to grill him in a basement room hung with abstract, grey art.

I wish him well, but I cannot help feeling he would be well advised to steel himself for even tougher tests in the months ahead.

David Owen worked for 20 years for the Financial Times in the United States, Canada, France and the UK. He ended his FT career as sports editor after the 2006 World Cup and is now freelancing, including covering the 2008 Beijing Olympics, the 2010 World Cup and London 2012. Owen's Twitter feed can be accessed here.

Alan Hubbard: British Skating needs a golden ice decade renaissance

Emily Goddard
Alan Hubbard

The Football League is seeking a new chief executive. The odds are that when the appointment is made the new incumbent may never have laced a pair of boots on in his life, has no previous connection with football, comes from the world of industry, commerce, public relations, even politics - or from an entirely different sport.


That's the name of the headhunting game these days.


Consider some of the more recent appointments to the chief executive's chair: British Weightlifting has hired Ashley Metcalfe, who used to open the batting for Yorkshire; the British Judo Association's new man is Andrew Scoular, who previously scrummed administratively at Twickenham.


The Rugby Football Union (RFU) itself replaced ex-rugby man John Steele with Ian Ritchie, who had masterminded Wimbledon on behalf of the All-England Club and when the Amateur Boxing Association of England parted company with Paul King – very much a boxing man – they brought in Mark Abberley, whose previous experience ranged from involvement in archery, handball and goalball.


And what of some of the big jobs now up for grabs?


Roger Draper is to step down from his post as chief executive of the Lawn Tennis Association in SeptemberRoger Draper is to step down from his post as chief executive of the Lawn Tennis Association in September


Will the Lawn Tennis Association look outside the game to replace the overpaid, under-achieving Roger Draper? Most probably, as Sport England's much - admired chief executive Jennie Price is said to be high on their wanted list. As she is on Seb Coe's for the vacant British Olympic Association (BOA) post.


Previous incumbent Andy Hunt, a somewhat square peg in the Olympic rings, came from heading a security firm. His BOA predecessor Simon Clegg, an ex-luge man, went off the run football club Ipswich Town and now chairs British Badminton.


But the most curious odd job man – in the nicest sense of the phrase is surely Nick Sellwood, who has taken over as the new chief executive of NISA (National Ice Skating Association) a few months after finishing a stint orchestrating the swimming programme – in Saudi Arabia!


From the burning sands to the ice rink is one hell of a transformation. But 53-year-old Sellwood, originally a PE teacher from Coventry (where they at least have a rink) is openly optimistic at the prospect of troubleshooting a sport which, in terms of international achievement, has all but vanished through a hole in the ice.


NickSellwoodNick Sellwood has taken over as chief executive of NISA


Even though the nearest he's been professionally to a skate has been in the local fishmongers!


Sellwood surely has one of the most unenviable tasks in British sport but he says: "When this opportunity came up a few people suggested to me that I might be able to turn this one round.


"The fact that I've had no previous experience in the sport seemed irrelevant because I have been involved with several others and there is lots of synergy between different sports at an administrative level. Much of what you know is transferable."


Sellwood, who has also done consultancy work with two Premier League football clubs, coached swimmers to Olympic level at five Games (including silver and bronze medallist Nick Gillingham) and was head of national development before his stint with all-male Saudi swimming, diving and water polo squads. Not an easy environment to work in, he will admit.


He comes in at a time when British skating is immersed in misty-eyed nostalgia, trading on the golden memories of John Curry, Robin Cousins and Jayne Torvill and Christopher Dean.


Those were times when there was more kiss than cry as Britons came off the ice to climb on to podiums and rule the rinks of the world.


The perfect six appeal of Torvill and Dean may to some still seem a load of old Bolero but their scintillating performance in Sarajevo almost three decades ago engrossed the nation with one of the biggest-ever television audiences for a sports event, just short of 24 million.


Previously the balletic brilliance of Curry and the sequined skills of Cousins had seen Britain revel in a golden ice decade.


John Curry 040613British skating is trading on the golden memories of John Curry (pictured), Robin Cousins and Jayne Torvill and Christopher Dean


Not anymore. Currently the sport is at the bottom of the pile for funding handouts, a catch-22 situation which can leave other putative stars without the incentive they need to challenge the world's best from Eastern Europe, the Far East and North America.


Sellwood recognises this but argues: "It is no use living in the past. We must stop looking back. It is like reminiscing about England winning the World Cup back in 1966. We have to look for new opportunities, and there are some big ones out there.


"This sport has a great need to modernise, to adopt attitudes and programmes that have been prevalent in many other sports for a while.


"Funding is massively important but there is no point in hiding behind the fact that you haven't got it.


"My job is to make this a 21st century world leading governing body. That is my agenda.


"So I have to look for alternative or additional funding streams. They are around. To sit there and rely on handouts from the Government, UK Sport or whatever is unacceptable to me. We've got to drive this ourselves. If anything comes in from those sources it is an additional bonus."


But is the talent there? Figure skating results in recent years do not suggest so. "The major thing in this sport is that are lots of participants but it is getting them into a daily training environment to meet their needs.


"If we keep repeating what we have been doing we will fall further behind the rest of the world.


"There is the need for new programmes. We have to invest in our talented athletes, our coaches, sports scientists and our rinks in terms of what goes on in talent identification."


Elise Christie is on course for an Olympic medal at Sochi 2014Elise Christie is on course for an Olympic medal at Sochi 2014


Fighting talk. And Sellwood is adamant that despite some of the present deficiencies skating is not just frozen in time.


"If you look at youth sport in Britain there is a huge drop-off in participation around the age of 14. But with ice skating the rinks are full with kids wanting to skate and we do not have that drop-off to the same degree."


And he reminds us that skating is not just about figure and dance, as Britain's short track speed skaters are up there whizzing around with the world's finest.


"We have a good record and an excellent speed skating set-up where Stuart Horsepool [performance director] does an outstanding job."


Britain's Elise Christie seems on course for an Olympic medal at Sochi 2014 after winning a World Cup and taking bronze at the World Championships.


And Sellwood makes this eyebrow-raising claim. "Our speed skating programme has one of the best conversion rates of talent into medals of any sport and if we can build on that we could have another cycling on our hands."


But what of figure and dance? No Cousins, Curry or T&D legacy here so far. He admits: "We need to bring our youngsters through a lot quicker." Which surely means greater emphasis on top-level coaching.


Unlike most other Olympic sports, skating has no national coaching supremo. "This is because of the individual way the sport is constructed but it is something we are looking at.


"One thing we plan to introduce is an apprenticeship scheme for British youngsters who, who eventually would like to be coaches.


"We have to stop relying on so many overseas coaches. When they go home, their expertise goes with them."


Jenna McCorkell has secured her place at Sochi 2014Jenna McCorkell has secured her place at Sochi 2014


And so to Sochi 2014. Sellwood is realistic. "If we come out with a medal, it will be a good result. But this is a long-term strategy and we are looking for a few markers, particularly from our ice dancers Penny Coomes and Nick Buckland. They are developing well."


The duo, together with long-time ladies figure skating champion Jenna McCorkell, are Britain's only qualifiers, though not in the world's top ten. There is an outside chance of pairs David King and Stacey Kemp joining them after a final qualifying event in September.


Compared to the good old days it is rather cold comfort, though Sellwood is upbeat enough to predict. "If we get things right we could very easily overtake the rest of the world a short period of time."


Maybe. But he knows Britain needs to get its skates on because the ice remains precariously thin.


Alan Hubbard is a sports columnist for The Independent on Sunday, and a former sports editor of The Observer. He has covered a total of 16 Summer and Winter Games, 10 Commonwealth Games, several football World Cups and world title fights from Atlanta to Zaire.


Tom Degun: Rogge determined to stay neutral in IOC President's race

Tom Degun ITG2A long 12 years in the most powerful position in world sport has undoubtedly taken its toll on the rapidly aging International Olympic Committee (IOC) President Jacques Rogge.

But such a fact did not stop the 71-year-old Belgian being in jovial mood at the latest edition of SportAccord International Convention in St Petersburg today

With just over three months before he is due to officially step down as the eighth IOC President at the organisation's 125th Session in Buenos Aires on September 10 – Rogge was laughing and joking with both IOC members and the press.

On more than one occasion he declared that he would happily share his opinion on all matters, even though he claimed that in just three months what he thought would be "completely irrelevant".

It was a packed room that turned out for one of his final press conferences at the helm of the Olympic Movement. Despite a hugely busy and dramatic week on planet Olympics - in which the three bids of baseball-softball, squash and wrestling were shortlisted for inclusion on the 2020 Olympic programme - the key focus of Count Rogge's press conference was the battle to succeed him.

Jacques Rogge St Petersburg May 2013Jacques Rogge declined to publicly back any candidate to succeed him as IOC President

Six candidates - Germany's Thomas Bach, Singapore's Ng Ser Miang, Taiwan's C K Wu, Puerto Rica's Richard Carrión, Switzerland's Denis Oswald and Ukraine's Sergey Bubka - have so far come forward to replace Rogge.

The deadline for the declaration of candidacies is due on June 10 but it is unlikely any others will stand after the two most likely to join the battle - Morocco's Nawal El Moutawakel and Switzerland's René Fasel - both ruled out the prospect when I asked them.

El Moutawakel, the current IOC-vice-president, was rather humorous when I asked her, as she responded: "No I'm definitely not standing – don't you read the news?" Fasel - the President of International Ice Hockey Federation (IIHF) - was a little less jovial as he explained that he simply wouldn't stand against Swiss compatriot Oswald.

Rogge suggested the pair had told him as much.

"At present, there are six candidates and there could be more before the deadline," Rogge said. "But I don't expect there to be seven or eight candidates so I think it will be these six."

The IOC President revealed that "all six of them will present their manifestos in July to the Session in Lausanne" in what will be their best opportunity to lobby to their colleagues before Buenos Aires.

Predictably, however, Rogge refused to publically back any of the six horses in the race to succeed him. "All of the six candidates would be good IOC Presidents," he said, a faint smile pursing his lips. "They all have very different personalities and different ways of operating but they all love sport and all do good things for sport so they could all do the role well."

Such a statement will have been no surprise to any of the candidates.

Bach - an IOC vice-president and the man considered the front-runner to replace Rogge - told me he expects nothing less than the Belgian to remain firmly neutral throughout.

Thomas Bach with RoggeGermany’s Thomas Bach, the leading contender to become the next IOC President, says Jacques Rogge will remain neutral in the race to pick his successor

"I have worked with Jacques Rogge for over 20 years in the IOC - long before he became President," Bach told me on the side-lines in St Petersburg. "He has always been a neutral person and therefore I expect he will remain firmly neutral throughout this race. It is simply his personality."

This isn't really new information. Throughout his dozen years as IOC President - Rogge has been nothing if not a safe pair of hands. It was perhaps something the Olympic Movement knew they required following the hugely prosperous but not always controversy-free 21 year rule of Spain's flamboyant Juan Antonio Samaranch. Rogge - as Bach explains - has safely guided the IOC for the last 12 years with major incident and will hand "a strong Olympic Movement to his successor that is in very good shape."

Back to the Rogge press conference; and the IOC President revealed that his successor will not be given a salary because all six candidates said they wanted to take up the role "voluntarily".

It means that like Rogge - they will only be paid expenses - which still amount to a considerable sum. This principle though, could one-day be revised.

Jacques Rogge Juan Antonio SamaranchJacques Rogge won a five-horse race to succeed Juan Antonio Samaranch as IOC President back in 2001

Rogge closed with some advice to the six – which should perhaps be heeded.

After all, the Belgian succeeded Samaranch in 2001 by seeing off four other candidates – who were Canada's Dick Pound, South Korea's Un Yong Kim, Hungary's Pal Schmitt and America's Anita DeFrantz.

"If I could offer advice, I would say that they have to remain true to themselves and their own personalities and simply try and be exactly what they are," he said. "That is the best advice I can give them, but I think that are being true to themselves anyway."

Tom Degun is a reporter for insidethegames. To follow him on Twitter click here.

Mike Rowbottom: Will the 2020 Olympics be the Kumbaya Games - or the Come Back Here Games? A question to wrestle with...

Mike Rowbottom
mikepoloneckSo wrestling, flipped over onto its back and placed in a stranglehold by the International Olympic Committee (IOC) three months ago, has - officially - twisted free and now stands panting and ready to resume its battle for survival at the Games.

"The match is not finished," said Nenad Lalovic, the recently elected president of the international wrestling federation, FILA, after the IOC Executive Board's announcement in St Petersburg that the sport which had been earmarked to drop out of the schedule after the 2016 Rio Games had wriggled its way back into contention along with two others hoping to join the party in 2020, squash and the combined baseball/softball option.

Next, these three will go forward from St Petersburg to Buenos Aires, where the full IOC Assembly will decide on September 8 which will take the single available place at the Games in seven years' time.

wrestlingataustraliayoutholympicfestivaljan13Wrestling at this year's Youth Olympic Festival in Australia

"We have a second match to fight," Lalovic added. "But be careful, we are good fighters."

Wrestling's fight has certainly been backed by big battalions. When it was provisionally dropped from the core IOC sports in February, there was a mighty reaction of dismay and disapprobation from the unlikely trinity of the United States, Russia and Iran – all countries which hold wrestling, and its history of having been a key part of both the ancient and modern Olympics, dear.

No one will have been more glad to hear of the St Petersburg result than Donald Rumsfeld, the 80-year-old former US Defence Secretary who wrestled in his youth for Princeton University and the US Navy, and made an unsuccessful attempt to qualify for the 1956 Olympics.

When wrestling was voted the Olympics' Least Promising in February, the man who offered the world the unarguable opinion in 2002 that "there are known knowns" mounted a strong and closely argued defence of its position as one of the sacred sports of the Games.

Pointing out that wrestling had been involved in the first recorded Olympics of 776BC, and that it had missed only one of the modern Olympics - in 1900 - Rumsfeld characterised the sport as "universal", requiring only "an opponent and a flat surface", and adding that more than 170 nations have competed in it. "It doesn't require a golf course, a swimming pool or a horse," he went on - again, unarguably. "To exclude wrestling from the Olympics would be a tragedy for the sport, for the athletes and for the proud tradition of the Games...it has thrived through war, depression, social changes and globalisation. But the Olympic committee panel didn't see fit to include it in the 2020 Games. Something is wrong with that picture."

donaldrumsfeldAs a former wrestler, former US Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has a particular interest in defending the sport's Olympic status

The most cutting phrase in the former Defence Secretary's attack, however, was this: "Wrestling uniquely encapsulates the Olympic spirit, even though it harkens back to older and more martial virtues, rather than the arts festival and Kumbaya session that some may prefer the modern Games to be."

Rumsfeld has got himself rather tied up at this point, as arts festivals were an integral part of the ancient Games from the point when they started in 776BC, with sculptors and poets contributing to artistic competitions.

But it was the reference to "Kumbaya" which resonated most strongly. What did the combative former politician mean by this?

"Kumbaya" is a spiritual song from the 1930s, a standard campfire song which, indeed, I remember singing round a campfire as a Scout. It derives from Gullah, a creole language spoken by former slaves living on islands off South Carolina and Georgia, and the title of the song is a version of an appeal to "My Lord" to Come by Here.

Nowadays, however, the phrase Kumbaya is a shorthand used in a cynical way to denote a naively optimistic attitude or falsely moralising attitude - a fake unanimity.

wrestling600bcwatchingAn 18th century German print depicting wrestling taking place at the ancient Games in circa 600BC in front of a giant statue of Zeus

If Rumsfeld is implying that the IOC is some kind of a fake family, then it is a family in which he dearly wants wrestling to remain.

That said, the IOC spokesperson's comments at the time of the February "exclusion" have something of a falsely bright ring:

"We wanted to allow room for the renewal of the Olympic programme," they said. "This is not the end of the process, this is purely a recommendation. This is not about what's wrong with wrestling, but what is good for the Games."

Which prompts two questions.

The first: if the decision was not about what was wrong with wrestling, why has that sport felt moved to move on its old President, Raphaël Martinetti, within days of its announcement and pursued a major re-development of its competition structure to simplify it after conspicuous consultation with its athletes?

"Everybody understood what we have done," the new President announced in the relieved aftermath of the St Petersburg announcement. Indeed. They have got their act together after receiving an IOC bodyslam.

But the second question - is this actually good for the Games?

If, after Buenos Aires, it transpires that the net result of all this manoeuvring by eight international sports has been to give wrestling a boot up the backside before allowing it to doff its cap and re-enter the Olympic rings, there are going to be a lot of very unhappy and frustrated people.

Wimbledon champion Roger Ferderer, pictured here with Nicol David, is among those who have supported squash's campaign to get onto the Olympic programmeWimbledon champion Roger Ferderer, pictured here with Nicol David, is among those who have supported squash's campaign to get onto the Olympic programme

The World Squash Federation President N Ramachandran, who led a presentation team which included world number one's Nicol David and Ramy Ashour, described the decision to shortlist his sport as "a huge milestone in our quest to join the Olympic Programme", and added: "I would like to thank the Executive Board for the faith it has placed in Squash."

But if squash should get the cold shoulder in September after a third consecutive campaign to join the Olympics, it is hard to believe all that cumulative hope and enthusiasm could remain intact. At some point, surely, the fixed grin which all those who knock on the IOC door are obliged to maintain will falter, to be replaced by an expression of dismay. Or even anger.

Sports, and cities, knock on that door for a variety of reasons. Many do not seriously expect to be allowed in, but calculate that their efforts will succeed in raising their profiles and reputations sufficiently to make the exercise worthwhile.

However, when the IOC asks sports, and cities, to make such enormous efforts, over and over again, only to find that rounds of secret voting maintain a barricade to their ambitions, then it treads a very fine line.

Mike Rowbottom, one of Britain's most talented sportswriters, covered the London 2012 Olympics and Paralympics as chief feature writer for insidethegames, having covered the previous five summer Games, and four winter Games, for The Independent. He has worked for the Daily Mail, The Times, The Observer, The Sunday Correspondent and The Guardian. To follow him on Twitter click here.

James Crook: PwC partner Hazem Galal talks Qatar mega-events and Rio regeneration

James Crook head and shouldersWith a packed sporting calendar of mega-events and other prestigious sporting competitions coming up in Qatar, Hazem Galal, a partner at world-leading professional services firm PwC, is sure to be kept busy facing the the challenges and opportunities that the huge sporting events coming to the booming oil-rich state during the next decade.

Galal has recently switched his base from Rio de Janeiro, where he was responsible for collaborating with State and Local Government to assist in attracting investment in relation to the mega sporting events in the Brazilian city - next year's FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Olympic and Paralympic Games - to Qatar, where he will focus on the successful implementation of Qatar's ambitious Vision 2030 plan.

There are ambitious plans for the controversial 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar, from the seemingly-ludicrous notion of remote-controlled artificial clouds to keep the scorching Arabian heat at bay to temporary floating hotels and man-made islands crammed with high-tech facilities.

But with the rate at which technology is progressing and with still just under a decade to go until the tournament, Galal believes that we cannot even begin to speculate what kind of technology will be available by the time the world's premier international football tournament comes to the Gulf.

"What's really exciting about Qatar is that you have this major event that's coming up in ten years time [2022 FIFA World Cup] or less at this point, but usually the time for any of these events is six years, that's how long a city gets to prepare for these events," he told insidethegames at the SportAccord International Convention currently taking place in St Petersburg.

"But in Qatar's case it was 12 years, and that comes with some advantages but also some disadvantages.

"Disadvantages being that technology might change.

"The technologies that we look at today, maybe two or three years prior to the event might be a little bit outdated, and that's why when you're designing venues and thinking about how you are actually going to manage and run your event you really have to look very carefully at this."

"The other interesting part is that we are talking about an initially estimated $70 billion infrastructure and build programme and what's exciting about it is that it's just another milestone in a longer term vision that Qatar has developed, called Vision 2030.

"So what really 2022 does for Qatar is make sure that this massive ambitious infrastructure programme is going to get implemented on time."

104137281The Doha Port Stadium is just one of the spectacular and eccentric designs for Qatar's 2022 FIFA World Cup stadiums

The decision itself to award Qatar, a tiny state with a population of just under two million - around the same as Northern Ireland - that possesses very little clout in the world of football the premier tournament in the sport was controversial enough to begin with, let alone with the worries of the potential temperatures of teams playing in heat up to 50 degrees Celsius considered.

The idea of moving the tournament, which has been held in the summer on every occasion since its inception in 1930, to be held in the winter was mooted but Galal believes that from the time he has spent in Qatar, that they will be able to control the stifling heat and conditions, regardless of what time of year the tournament will take place.

"I think that Qatar is ready to work with whatever timing of the year is agreed on, for now everybody's working under the current situation that it is going to be a summer World Cup, and that's basically what everyone there is working towards," he told insidethegames.

Looking to the immediate future, with the 2014 FIFA World Cup and 2016 Olympic Games set to take place in another nation with lofty sporting ambitions, Brazil, how has securing these mega-events impacted the people of the country, particularly in its best known city, Rio de Janeiro?

"I lived in Rio for two-and-a-half years before moving to Qatar and before that I lived in Rio between 2000 and 2003, and it's a changed city for many reasons," said Galal.

"The legacy for the events has started.

"Security is so much better than what it used to be before, when you look at where Maracanã is situated - where the Opening and Closing Ceremonies for the 2016 Olympics will take place and the World Cup Final will take place - around Maracanã until about two or three years ago, these were no-go-zones where drug lords were actually in control of this part of the city.

"Once Rio became part of the World Cup and became the main destination for the 2016 Olympics, that created a very strong stimulus for the country as a whole and the state to revert that situation for security, so they went and they stayed and created what is called the basification unit.

"After the security comes the schooling and the housing and the healthcare, so you're really transforming these informal settlements or favelas before the event, in preparation for the event, and that's one of the aspects of the legacy."

107312709There have been growing concerns over the potential sweltering heat in Qatar, but Galal believes that the Emirate will be ready to accommodate regardless of the time of year

And with new transport links between the four clusters that will play host the 2016 Games, as well as large investment in general infrastructure in the city, Galal believes that the current inconvenience of the construction of these links will be cast to the back of the citizens minds upon their completion, stating that he thinks the new links will "make the city proud".

In terms of the ambitions of PwC in the Qatar region, Galal insists that the economical benefits are not the sole purpose of hosting these major events; they can provide an injection of life and hope into a city and even a country - much as the 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games in London did.

"People usually look at the economic impact of these events and that's all valid, and we do a lot of this ourselves, but you also have to take other things into consideration; the intangible benefits," he said.

"If we can get the Londoners to feel good about themselves for at least two weeks because of the Olympics and to stop complaining about the weather, how much value do you put on that?

"By the same token also, even cities that have gone through the journey to bid for an event but still didn't get it, and went ahead and implemented some of the improvement and infrastructure plans that were part of its Olympic bid or World Cup bid, have also benefitted; New York being a great example.

"They lost to London, but they still went ahead and implemented a lot of the things that were in their candidacy file, and I think that more and more cities should really follow this example, where it becomes a sense of improvement that you want to do to the city.

"In a broader sense some of the social infrastructure improvements that they would want to do in terms of the legacy of the event, these should be part of a longer term plan to implement these improvements whether or not you get the event."

117121689The areas around Rio's Maracana Stadium have become safer in recent years, according to Galal

And with new transport links between the four clusters that will play host the 2016 Games, as well as large investment in general infrastructure in the city, Galal believes that the current inconvenience of the construction of these links will be cast to the back of the citizens minds upon their completion, stating that he thinks the new links will "make the city proud".

In terms of the ambitions of PwC in the Qatar region, Galal insists that the economical benefits are not the sole purpose of hosting these major events; they can provide an injection of life and hope into a city and even a country- much as the 2012 Olympic and Paralympic Games in London did.

"People usually look at the economic impact of these events and that's all valid, and we do a lot of this ourselves, but you also have to take other things into consideration; the intangible benefits.

"If we can get the Londoners to feel good about themselves for at least two weeks because of the Olympics and to stop complaining about the weather, how much value do you put on that?

"By the same token also, even cities that have gone through the journey to bid for an event but still didn't get it, and went ahead and implemented some of the improvement and infrastructure plans that were part of its Olympic bid or World Cup bid, have also benefitted; New York being a great example.

"They lost to London, but they still went ahead and implemented a lot of the things that were in their candidacy file, and I think that more and more cities should really follow this example, where it becomes a sense of improvement that you want to do to the city.

"In a broader sense some of the social infrastructure improvements that they would want to do in terms of the legacy of the event, these should be part of a longer term plan to implement these improvements whether or not you get the event."

James Crook is a reporter for insidethegames. To follow him on Twitter click here

Alan Hubbard: Should Wu leave the real professionals to concentrate on their business?

Emily Goddard
Alan HubbardAIBA requested – and were given – two tickets for last Saturday's (May 25) blockbuster world super-middleweight title fight between Carl Froch and Mikkel Kessler at London's O2 Arena. The obliging promoter, Eddie Hearn, smilingly suggested the representatives of what we used to call "amateur" boxing's international ruling body wanted to learn how the professionals went about putting on a great show.

Which it was. But was the presence of Dr C K Wu's emissaries also a further in indication of AIBA's serious intention to muscle in on the pro game?

Rightly or wrongly, Dr Wu seems determined to have a piece of the professional action, indeed ultimately to control the whole boxing match.

It can never happen the way he wants, of course; the professional promoters will see him off. But they are very much aware of the threat.

Hearn himself is dismissive, describing AIBA's World Series Boxing (WSB) and forthcoming ultra-ambitious pro series APB (AIBA Pro Boxing) as "an accident waiting to happen".

"These people do not have the knowledge or the wherewithal to organise professional boxing as the world understands it. Basically they are still amateurs," he says.

Frank Warren 280513Frank Warren has slammed AIBA's move to control professional boxing as "ridiculous"

Britain's long-standing premier promoter, Frank Warren concurs, telling insidethegames: "The whole concept is ridiculous. Crazy. It is neither practical nor feasible. What we will end up with is just another label in an overcrowded alphabet soup. Or a monopoly.

"I see that Dr Wu also wants to run the Olympics [the Taiwanese billionaire boss of AIBA is a candidate to succeed President Jacques Rogge]. I'd like to know what the IOC [International Olympic Committee] think of his idea to be the emperor of world boxing too. How does that fit in with the Olympic concept?

"I gather he wants the Olympics open to all professional boxers as long as they are under his jurisdiction. But the Olympics are not the be-all and end-all. Think of the great fighters who have competed in the Games. In Britain alone we have Naseem Hamed, Ricky Hatton Nigel Benn, Chris Eubank and Frank Bruno. And what about the scores of top Mexicans who never took part?

"Dr Wu should concentrate on what he does best, running his own show and leaving the real professionals to concentrate on their business."

José Sulaimán 280513José Sulaimán is threatening legal action against AIBA's plans to control professional boxing

That is exactly the sentiment of the pro World Boxing Council (WBC) President Dr José Sulaimán, who has been forced to come out counter-punching AIBA's proposals by threatening legal action against both the boxing body and the IOC under international anti-trust monopoly laws if AIBA become the sole conduit for professionals to box in the Olympics.

He also says the Mexico City-based WBC, principal of the disparate fistful of pro governing bodies, plans to launch a professional World Cup, a 32-week tournament this summer similar in nature to WSB and by the end of the year and will start their "Diamond Gloves" programme for young amateurs thinking of turning pro.

The philosophy now seems to be: if you invade our territory, we'll pinch some of yours.

Seconds out! The gloves – Diamond and otherwise – are off as the war of the boxing worlds commences.

Ideally, of, course, all boxing should have one universal governing body but the nature of the sport and its finances – a fight between Froch and America's last Olympic boxing champion Andre Ward, for example, would be worth £30 million ($45 million/€35 million) – means it never will.

Can you really imagine AIBA staging that?

Attempts to bring it under the same umbrella are not new. In Britain there have been on-off discussions between the pro British Boxing Board of Control (BBBofC) and the home amateur associations for years. Nothing has materialised.

It is true that the sport's promotional hierarchy could be changing. Dr Sulaimán, like top US promoters Don King and Bob Arum, is an octogenarian (all are 81). Warren is 61.

Eddie Hearn 280513Eddie Hearn is likely to want things to stay as they are in professional boxing

But there are young kids on the block waiting to take over, like Warren's sons Francis and George, and Arum's son-in-law Todd DuBoef and of course Matchroom's Hearn, the 33-year-old son of global multi-sports impresario Barry has already made his name.

All are well versed in the pro game, and will want things to stay the way they are

As does Richard Schaefer, Swiss chief executive of Oscar de la Hoya's Golden Boy, who has been quick to vehemently deny suggestions emanating from AIBA's Lausanne headquarters that he was willing to strike a deal with Dr Wu.

Offering young boxers an alternative route to a few bob is fair enough, even commendable, but any party attempting to monopolise the situation clearly is not.

In any case surely AIBA has more immediate concerns, in particular the news that, predictably, the Blazers, particularly those adorned with the badges of the Scottish and English amateur boxing associations, have won the spiteful internecine battle for control of amateur boxing in Britain, ousting Derek Mapp after five constructive years as chair of the British Amateur Boxing Association (BABA).

Derek Mapp 280513Derek Mapp has been ousted as chair of the British Amateur Boxing Association

It is a chaotic move which may well threaten the future, both financially and structurally, of the sport in Britain, and AIBA is right to express serious concern, especially as Amateur Boxing Scotland, main instigators of the coup, are themselves facing allegations of not being fit for purpose.

It creates a mess that will infuriate the Sports Minister, Hugh Robertson, and Government-backed UK Sport which, as insidethegames reports, could now withhold substantial Olympic funding until and unless the sport puts its house in order.

However, questions need to be asked of UK Sport as to why they stood back and allowed this situation to develop. It is an issue new chair Rod Carr promptly needs to address.

I believe Mapp did a first-rate job (count the British medals and look at the world-envied set-up in Sheffield) and that his departure is a retrograde step.

Ultimately, it might even lead to the loss of head coach Rob McCracken – who was so instrumental in his other role as Carl Froch's corner Svengali in Saturday night's great victory.

He will surely go if the Blazers insist on returning to the dinosaur days when they had selectors picking the squads and not the coach.

And what now of the future of BABA's prize asset, the Olympic super-heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua Dr Wu was hoping to tempt as a star attraction for WSB and APB?

This upheaval may well clinch a decision to join forces with the proper pros, following fellow London 2012 medallists Luke Campbell and Anthony Ogogo.

Much may now depend on who takes over from Mapp. In an earlier article here I suggested that, in the event of Mapp's demise Lord Colin Moynihan, the former British Olympic Association (BOA) chair, would be a suitable candidate. But he quickly informed me: "Thanks, but no thanks."

After the way Derek Mapp has been treated, you can understand why.

Alan Hubbard is a sports columnist for The Independent on Sunday, and a former sports editor of The Observer. He has covered a total of 16 Summer and Winter Games, 10 Commonwealth Games, several football World Cups and world title fights from Atlanta to Zaire.

Jaimie Fuller: Is Danilo Di Luca the most stupid sportsman ever?

Duncan Mackay
Jaimie Fuller head and shouldersWhen an athlete who has just served a suspension for doping returns to the sport and immeidately does it again, you know you've got problems. It's a situation that strikes at the very heart of credibility in world sport and when it becomes clear that punishment has failed to rehabilitate, we really are on a rocky road to somewhere worse than nowhere.

It was announced last week that Italian cyclist Danilo Di Luca had failed an out-of-competition drugs test and was immediately removed from the Giro d'Italia by his team.

This is a guy with history. Back in 2009, Di Luca was given a two-year ban following a positive test at the Giro d'Italia. He did get it reduced by nine months after agreeing to collaborate with the authorities and on April 26 this year, signed for the Italian team Fantini-Selle. Three days later, he was randomly tested and last week was confirmed as having failed the test. 

Fantini-Selle immediately sacked him and distanced themselves from his activities. The team will seek compensation from Di Luca under the terms of his contract for damages caused. The team manager has stated that they never wanted Di Luca in the team and only signed the rider due to pressure from one of the team sponsors.

So who's to blame? Well clearly the rider himself is right up there, but it appears that Di Luca was forced upon the team by a generous sponsor. It appears then, that this is all about money - and to hell with the consequences. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I know, it's a conclusion that doesn't exactly make me Sherlock Holmes but this is scary stuff because it reflects the true depth of a massive problem.

Danilo Di Luca in pink jerseyItalian cyclist Danilo Di Luca tested positive for banned drugs for a second time, only three days after signing for new team Fantini-Selle

Fantini-Selle say they were pretty much forced to take him by their main sponsor. You can imagine the scenario as the guy holding the purse strings demands "his man" is added and the team principal complies because he has no choice if he wants to keep his backer, his team and his job. There is no suggestion that the sponsors knew Di Luca was still doping but the point is that blind faith appears to have dug a deeper hole for the sport that they're all involved in.

Whatever might be said in hindsight about being sorry and making a mistake, it's time sponsors took on a greater level of corporate social responsibility when it comes to indulging the glamour world of professional sport. Should athletes who are offered redemption be subjected to rigorous testing by a governing body before they're handed their second chance?

Should sponsors insist - or be forced to confirm - they know their man is clean before allowing him (in this case) back on a bike again? For me the answers are obvious and there is one heck of a precedent that should serve as the ultimate case study.

Marco Pantani was a cyclist who excited the fans with his attacking style. He won the Giro and the Tour de France in the same year but he succumbed to performance-enhancing and recreational drugs. Although he never actually tested positive, the rumours were rife and he eventually went into a depression and died from acute cocaine poisoning.

Marco Pantani celebratingA deadly combination of performance-enhancing and recreational drugs evenutally killed another Italian cyclist, Marco Pantani

Throughout all this, the sponsor told Pantini's team that without Pantini there was no sponsorship. He continued riding to fulfil his obligations - and it killed him.

Thankfully, Di Luca (who's self styled nickname is the "Killer" by the way) didn't kill himself but the point is, sponsors are as much a part of this issue as the riders. The International Cycling Union (UCI) themselves are alleged to have been complicit in Lance Armstrong's doping activities and while not completely proven, the suggestion is they turned a blind eye because he was the star of the show and worth millions to them.

Danilo Di Luca is the latest example of a problem that is far deeper than just the athlete and his doctor. So until there's a plan that involves everyone and one that everyone signs up to, people will wonder if the athlete holding the trophy is truly legit. And for those who actually are, it's a complete disgrace.

If a sponsor turns a blind eye or chooses results over basic ethical standards, they too have blood on their hands.

Jaimie Fuller is the chairman of Skins and the founder of pressure group Change Cycling Now, whose members include Greg LeMond, Paul Kimmage and David Walsh. To follow him on Twitter click here.



Tom Degun: Sports bidding for 2020 Olympic Games prepare to learn fate in St Petersburg

Tom Degun ITG2In a brief media release this week, the International Olympic Committee (IOC) shed a little more light on the announcement in St Petersburg next week of the final shortlist of sports bidding to make the 2020 Olympic Games.

Of course, the eight bids at present are baseball/softball, karate, roller sports, sports climbing, squash, wakeboard, wushu and now wrestling - who were put into the mix after being controversially recommended for exclusion from the list of core sports after Rio 2016 by the IOC Executive Board in February.

The IOC Executive Board will again take centre stage on Wednesday (May 29), when they decide which sports will make the final shortlist.

The release explained that from 1.30pm to 8pm Moscow Standard Time (MSK), all eight will present to the Executive Board at the Lenexpo Exhibition Complex to state their case before the Board votes to decide on the shortlist.

Then, at 8.30pm MSK, there will be a "press briefing with the IOC director of communications Mark Adams, including announcement of shortlist of sport(s) for 2020 Olympic programme."
 
IOC Executive BoardThe IOC Executive Board will decide which of the eight bidding sports to recommend to the 125th IOC Session for inclusion at the 2020 Olympics on May 29

What is far less clear is how many sports will be shortlisted for the 125th IOC Session in Buenos Aires in September, where the full IOC membership will vote on which one will be included in the 2020 Olympics.

Three seems to be magic number – although Germany's IOC vice-president Thomas Bach told me last month that the Executive Board "should be flexible" when deciding how many of the sports will be shortlisted.

"The President [Jacques Rogge] has not said how many of the sports will be shortlisted in St Petersburg," Bach told me just a few days before he announced he would be standing to become the next IOC President himself.

"It is something that we will most likely discuss following the presentations. In my opinion, I don't think we should have an exact number that we should shortlist because I think we should be flexible. If the presentations are good enough and the bid has enough strength, I see no reason why we shouldn't take it through to the next stage.

"So it is my opinion that we should show flexibility in shortlisting the sports but obviously this will be something that we will discuss as a Board; and the President's wishes will also be very important in deciding this."

It has become abundantly clear that many senior figures in the IOC are unhappy with the way the process has been run, particularly given that wrestling could be welcomed straight back into the fold in a move which would surely anger the sports that have now been bidding for two long years – and, in some cases, spent large amounts of money in doing so.
 
Jacques Rogge 3IOC President Jacques Rogge will be crucial in deciding how many of the eight 2020 Olympic Games bidding sports make the shortlist to go through to the 125th IOC Session

But the confusion around the way the process has been rather clumsily mapped out means that the majority of the Executive Board will happily sit back and let Rogge decide how many sports will be shortlisted.

The IOC President, who now has just other three months left in the role, has been purposely vague on the subject, refusing to give anything away.

But it is unlikely that, in one of his last major acts as President, he would look to put forward any less than three of the eight.

But the mystery surrounding Rogge's thinking has made it difficult for the sports as they prepare crucial presentations of just 30 minutes to decide their fate.

Antonio Castro, the high-profile vice-president of the World Baseball Softball Confederation (WBSC) and son of the former Cuban leader Fidel Castro, was in London this week on his way to St Petersburg.

While refusing to reveal any secrets about the baseball/softball presentation he will help deliver to the IOC Executive Board in Russia next week, he said it makes for nervous times.
 
Antonio Castro 3Antonio Castro, the WBSC vice-president and son of the former Cuban leader Fidel Castro, says the St Petersburg presentations will be crucial for all eight 2020 Olympic bid sports

"We are very confident and we believe we have a strong presentation for the IOC Executive Board so we are excited," Castro told me as I met him in the shadow of the Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park in Stratford. "But you never know which way it is going to go. There are eight sports bidding and there can be only one winner and only the IOC can decide this.

"We can only concentrate on ourselves and do the best we can in our presentation and then we can only hope for the best."

It is a feeling that all eight sports will share as they hold their breath and wait for 8.30pm MSK in St Petersburg, when they learn if their fate will take then to Buenos Aires via the final shortlist.

Tom Degun is a reporter for insidethegames. To follow him on Twitter click here.

Mike Rowbottom: On Andreas Thorkildsen, Doha steeds and the winds of chance

Mike Rowbottom
mikepoloneckIf running can claim to be the most primitively important element of those which make up what we now describe as athletics - quick getaways on foot were more than desirable for our forbears in the days of rampaging woolly mammoths - then the javelin, the implement of hunting and war, takes the silver medal position. There is a deep and instinctive appeal to this latter-day Olympic sport.

Back in the days of the ancient Greece Olympics, javelin throwers had to deal with a technical element that is no longer a part of the event - a leather thong, in the form of a loop, attached to the implement at whatever point the thrower found most advantageous. This loop enabled a better grip and helped produce extra power in the launch. It could also impart a spin to the javelin which stabilised and lengthened its flight.

As well as the throw for distance, which closely resembles the competitions of today, the ancient Greeks also liked to stage a trickier variant - that is, throwing the javelin at a target. From the back of a horse. A galloping horse.

ancientjavelinsJavelin throwers at the ancient Olympics had leather thongs on the spear to help their throw. But then they sometimes had to throw from the back of a horse...

At this month's IAAF Diamond League meeting in Doha, Norway's double Olympic javelin champion Andreas Thorkildsen paid unwitting tribute to this tradition as he was pictured in pre-event publicity event in traditional Arab dress and brandishing his javelin on top of an Arab steed.

As he explained afterwards, there was an element of chance about this image, as he had originally been offered the opportunity to have his photograph taken on a camel, an assignment which would also have required travelling a distance of around 50 miles (not on the camel, but in the car taking him to the camel, just to be clear).

Anyway, the Norwegian had opted for the four-legged beasts without the hump, and he looked more than comfortable in the pictures displayed ahead of the main event. But then he didn't have to gallop, or aim his javelin at at anything other than the photographer in front of him.

Thorkildsen endured a horrible year in 2012 as nagging injuries undermined his effort to earn a third consecutive Olympic title in London - with gold going to the unheralded world junior champion from Trinidad and Tobago, Keshorn Walcott.

Andreas Thorkildsen on a horseLuckily for Andreas Thorkildsen, he only had to sit on the horse and did not have to try to throw his javelin at a target while it was galloping along

The Norwegian is clearly on a mission to return to the top of his event, and as part of his preparations for the Doha event - the first in this year's IAAF Diamond League series - he spent time - and indeed around $20,000 (£13,000/€15,500) of his own money - establishing a training camp for himself in Qatar, where he took full advantage of the dazingly-vast indoor facility of the Aspire Dome and what he described as perfect throwing conditions in the warmth of the early evening (as opposed to the oven-heat of midday).

It is a truism that the more one learns about anything, the more interesting it becomes. But it is also true that the more one learns about anything, the more complex it becomes.

Talking to Thorkildsen about his event - one which patently enthrals him - it was fascinating to hear him describe how the dynamic has changed since the international authorities fundamentally altered the balance of the javelin in order to check the ever-increasing distances being achieved, distances which were threatening to see spectators at the far end of the stadium at risk of impalement in the near future.

As he explained, the key shift brought about by the alterations made by the IAAF in 1986 and again in 1991 was that throwers were better favoured by a following wind rather than a headwind.

thorkildDouble Olympic champion Andreas Thorkildsen throwing at this month's IAAF Doha Diamond League event

Thorkildsen held his hand over the table as he illustrated the point (as it were). His fingers tilted up as he showed how, pre-change, a headwind would help to hold up the tip of the javelin, lengthening its flight before it dipped down.

Now the Norwegian had his hand on the table to illustrate the thrower, with his other hand indicating the direction of following winds. But it is not just any old following wind which best speeds the spear these days. As his gestures make clear, throwers best benefit from a following wind that comes in on their throwing side.

Thus Germany's world champion, Matthias de Zordo, gets an extra boost as a left-handed thrower if the prevailing wind is streaming in from behind him but moving left to right. Such conditions tend to steer his throws into the vector, controlling his occasional tendency to throw wide on the left.

Conversely, Thorkildsen and most of his fellow throwers are happiest when a slight right to left tailwind comes in, correcting any tendency they might have to miss the vector on the right side, and assisting their attempts in flight.

There are so many elements to this hugely technical track-and-field event, but part of its fascination derives from this random, natural factor which can so profoundly alter the destiny of those who have sought to micro-manage their training and performance down to the last stretching exercise and nutritional supplement. You can train in the highest of high-tech environments, as Thorkildsen and many of his rivals do, but in the end, as a javelin thrower, you are subject to the winds of chance.

Mike Rowbottom, one of Britain's most talented sportswriters, covered the London 2012 Olympics and Paralympics as chief feature writer for insidethegames, having covered the previous five summer Games, and four winter Games, for The Independent. He has worked for the Daily Mail, The Times, The Observer, The Sunday Correspondent and The Guardian. To follow him on Twitter click here.

David Owen: Carrión – "This great position we have is not guaranteed"

Emily Goddard
David Owen ITGIt was a typically business-like declaration, made not in the hallowed chambers of the Sorbonne in Paris, but with a two-page media release at the start of the New York trading day.

Richard Carrión, Puerto Rican chairman of the International Olympic Committee (IOC)'s Finance Commission is to run for the IOC Presidency.

Neither the media release, nor an exclusive telephone interview with insidethegames left room for any doubt that this was a businessman or that we were talking about a multibillion dollar business, albeit a very special one.

We spoke the language of efficiency and effectiveness, of leveraging resources and spreading best practice.

Sentence two of the release included the information that: "Carrión has headed negotiations of Olympic TV broadcast rights for the Americas, Asia, Africa and Australia that aggregate to more than $8 billion (£5 billion/€6 billion) in funding revenues for the Olympic Movement."

Richard Carrión is hoping to replace IOC President Jacques RoggeRichard Carrión (left) is hoping to replace IOC President Jacques Rogge (right)

But the 60-year-old banker also sounded a strong cautionary note, just in case anyone should be thinking that the Movement's staggering renaissance over recent decades might have made its continued success inevitable.

"I think the IOC/Olympic Movement is in great standing," he told me, in one of those statements you just know will be followed by a "but" or similar qualification.

However: "I think when things are going great is the moment to take a look.

"This great position we have is not guaranteed...

"We have to be aware the world is going to change.

"We have to make that change work for the IOC, for the betterment of the Olympic Movement.

"We have to be ahead of the curve here or we will become less relevant to the youth of today."

Having participated in so many negotiations, Carrión is acutely aware that one of the biggest uncertainties is the nature of future media innovation – something the IOC simply has to call right, given the huge slice of the Movement's income attributable to the sale of broadcasting rights.

Richard Carrión 220513Richard Carrión warned that the IOC's "great position is not guaranteed"

"Clearly the world of media is changing very quickly," he said, describing the various devices his son has on the go when they watch a televised basketball match together.

As he acknowledges, the direction of the evolution might end up channelling even more millions in the direction of sports event owners, but – and it is a big "but": "The digital revenue model is unclear...

"If more and more people are consuming on a digital platform, it is unclear that the advertisers will continue to pay for the broadcast."

Carrión lists four further threats or challenges confronting the Movement.

● Deep economic and fiscal strains in many countries which could impact negatively on sport;

● the increasing complexity of staging the Games and the impact this might have on future bidders;

● the rise of illegal betting on sports; and

● the growing rate of inactivity and obesity among young people.

He puts forward a number of ideas for addressing some of these challenges.

The Movement's United Nations observer status could pave the way, along with new partnerships with non-governmental organisations, he argues, for the IOC to achieve a range of sports development objectives.

"Our projects should have long-term strategies and be result-oriented," he said.

sports education and development programmesRichard Carrión would like to see more funds being used for sports education and development programmes

He would also like to see a new special fund created, complementary to Olympic Solidarity, to be used for sports education and development programmes.

He is keen for the Movement to play a role in the sharing of best practice on ways of combating obesity and getting kids active.

"I think we have to use the talent we have both in-house and in our membership to try to produce templates that will serve for communities to activate their youth," he told me.

He would like to consider bringing more functions relating to the organisation of a Games in-house.

In particular, he feels, there could be an argument for keeping a small corps of key people on the ground with the host city as it goes through the seven-year process of preparing for a Games.

This would be in addition to the regular visits effected by the relevant Coordination Commission.

He emphasised, however, that he was not "advocating bloating the management structure.

"I am advocating looking at things where we spend a lot of money and asking, 'Can we do this more efficiently?'

He did not use the expression himself, but he also left me with the clear impression he would like to sweat the Movement's very considerable assets rather more.

"We need to be more efficient and leverage the resources we have," he told me.

IOC Executive Board 220513Richard Carrión says he will encourage more "active participation" from IOC members

Olympic Broadcasting Services (OBS) has what he termed "a treasure trove of images" that could be put to more intensive use.

He would also like to see "an even more active participation" from IOC members themselves.

"If you look at the membership, we have some extraordinary people there," he told me.

"I don't know of any organisation in the world that has that level of people.

"They are important within their countries and many are well-known outside them.

"I think we need to get more counsel from these people.

"I think we have this enormous asset.

"I just have an aversion to having an asset and not using it...

"People who are IOC members have a passion for this.

"They are drawn to this because they have a passion for sport."

Carrión said he had an open mind on the question of whether member visits to bidding cities should be reinstated – "but it is definitely not at the top of my agenda".

David Owen worked for 20 years for the Financial Times in the United States, Canada, France and the UK. He ended his FT career as sports editor after the 2006 World Cup and is now freelancing, including covering the 2008 Beijing Olympics, the 2010 World Cup and London 2012. Owen's Twitter feed can be accessed here.

Alan Hubbard: Why is there such a support drought for the worthy Panathlon cause?

Emily Goddard
Alan HubbardThe Olympics and Paralympics may be done and dusted but together with the golden glow of the aftermath, the spirit of 2012 lingers on. Not least among sport's little people.

I have written here before about the merits of the Panathlon and make no apology for doing so again, for in times when we are satiated by big-time sport, its greed and its scandals, it is heartening how a worthy event brutally kicked in the whatsits by a political football keeps bouncing back.

Testimony of this is that last week 162 disabled schoolchildren from seven English counties competed at Stoke Mandeville Stadium, birthplace of the Paralympic Games, in a special double edition of the Panathlon Challenge.

Berkshire won gold for the second consecutive year, while a dramatic finish saw Oxfordshire clinch victory in their first ever Panathlon – a "mini Paralympics" for these kids.

Stoke Mandeville Stadium panathlon challengeStoke Mandeville Stadium hosted a special double edition of the Panathlon Challenge

Not that you will have seen this reported in the national media, or that the Panathlon people would have expected it to be.

They have been quietly soldiering on since the then six-year-old Panathlon – the Greek word for a group of sporting disciplines – virtually went to the wall in 2005 when the Labour Government pulled the plug on its funding fearing it might diminish Prime Minister Gordon Brown's "baby", the UK School Games.

The original highly popular Panathlon Challenge, for both able-bodied and disabled youngsters, had been born out of concern for the alarming decline in competitive sport in schools nationwide.

The schools had been selected for the event because of their lack of sports facilities or a comprehensive sports programme.

The entire venture looked a basket case. But thanks to the perseverance, hard work and the commercial endeavours of its former chairman John Hymers and current director Ashley Iceton it managed to struggle on, concentrating solely on its disability aspect, thanks to a couple of charities, providing such unrivalled opportunities in sport for disabled youngsters that it won a Sportsmatch Award.

Now Panathlon provides multisport competitions for over 3,000 disabled children each year. Over 200 schools are involved in 2013, with 15,000 active hours of sport provided to disabled children.

Panathlon provides multisport competitions for over 3000 disabled children each yearPanathlon provides multisport competitions for over 3,000 disabled children each year

Initially focused across London and the southeast, the charity is now branching out to provide sport to hundreds more kids across the country through events like that at Stoke Mandeville, run in association with the English Federation of Disability Sport (EFDS), of which Panathlon is a member.

"Panathlon are doing a fabulous job and we are just delighted to be working with them and seeing the benefits that it brings," EFDS chairman Charles Reed says. "Their events are always very inspirational, great fun and they send a lot of people away with big smiles on their faces."

The ultimate aim is to get every child, regardless of their disability into a multitude of sports.

The Panathlon would like to expand to beyond its current areas of activities but as Iceton says: "We gets lots of requests to run the Challenge from all over the country but we are a relatively small charity and are having to turn people away because we don't have a pot of cash to do more."

He is one of two full-time organisers, with two part-timers and hundreds of volunteers. "We tend to concentrate on the most physically impaired kids and those with considerable learning difficulties," he told insidethegames.

The Challenge features a number of Paralympic sports though there is no actual pathway through to the Paralympics. However, the hope is that some might make it eventually.

"It is not really about talent ID," Iceton explained. "It is about kids who are missing out as they have no other access to any sport.

"We still find an attitude in some schools of 'well, these kids can't do this' but we come along and say 'actually, yes they can' and we arrange for them to be bussed to a sports centre or to play against another school."

One of the most admirable aspects of the Panathlon is that it encourages able-bodied schoolchildren to train as coaches or officials for their less able counterparts. "The response from youngsters wanting to do this has been fantastic," says Iceton. "Some now even run the events."

The past seven years have seen a relentless pursuit for funding via sponsorship or charitable donations and Iceton's team have managed to produce the goods for an average annual budget of under £300,000 ($455,000/€353,000).

Panathlon Gold Challenge Mayor Launch 3Boris Johnson pledged £83,000 towards helping disabled athletes

This included a BoJo bonus – London Mayor Boris Johnson chipping in some £83,000 ($126,000/€98,000) before the Olympics from his Sports Legacy Plan which has gone towards helping disabled athletes aged between eight and 18 to compete in designer sports such as boccia, bean bag throwing, table cricket, new age kurling, polybat, football and athletics.

This windfall was engineered by the former Labour Sports Minister Kate Hoey, who is the Mayor's Commissioner for Sport. She has always been a great Panathlon supporter and with current Tory Sports Minister Hugh Robertson tabled a protest motion in Parliament when her Government stopped the funding. She says: "I try every year to come to a Panathlon event and it just seems to get bigger and better than ever. Without Panathlon, many of these children would not get a chance to take part in any sort of sporting activity, so I'm very keen. Investing in the Panathlon Challenge is something that has proved that it works and it is run very well. For a very small amount of money you can make a lot of young people and a lot of families very happy."

Among those helping to inspire disabled youngsters to get involved in sport themselves is Paralympian swimming star Liz Johnson, now Panathlon's official ambassador.

Liz Johnson is Panathlons official ambassadorLiz Johnson is Panathlon's official ambassador

Johnson, 27, who has a gold, silver and bronze medal from the last three Paralympic Games, recently attended the central London final at the Westway Sports Centre, tucked underneath the A40 flyover, a world away from the Olympic Park's Aquatic Centre where she won her s SB6 100 metres breaststroke bronze last year. She said: "I always love to come down to Panathlon. There is so much going on and the kids get so much out of it.

"The best thing about Panathlon is that it gives kids then opportunity to try competitive sports they might not otherwise get in their school environment. It makes sport accessible for these children to obtain those kinds of skills.

"Sport did so much for me. It opened so many doors. It helped me realise so much potential and skills outside of swimming. Panathlon provides that opportunity for everybody to have that accessibility and hopefully gain something, which is why it's so important."

However, as Iceton points out: "Since the Paralympics though people have greater understanding of disability sport my phone hasn't been ringing from big sponsors wanting to come on board."

So is there any chance of renewed funding via Government agencies? It seems unlikely.

"Things are better under the Coalition with the money being put into primary schools but for us the problem is how to access that money," says Iceton. "To get any funding out of Sport England we have to create bids for certain age groups and there is a lot hassle involved. It is all rather blurred so we haven't gone down that route."

Nick Bitel 210513Will new Sport England chair Nick Bitel take a fresh look at the worthy Panathlon cause?

Had Paralympic icon Baroness Tanni Grey-Thompson been given the Sport England chair doubtless she would have had a natural empathy with the Panathlon cause. Let's hope new incumbent Nick Bitel will take a fresh look at the situation, and favourably consider some of the Panathlon achievements worthy reward:

• 2,375 disabled competitors in 2013 so far – will be way over 3,000 by summer

• 301 schools involved to date – special, primary and secondary with mainstreamed children

• 53 competitions planned during academic year 2012-2013

• Will be 20,000 plus active hours of participation by end of summer

• 12 counties involved outside London, most "home" counties but now as far away as Wiltshire, Merseyside, and new this year, Middlesbrough

• 356 Young Leaders trained and qualified in a range of sports

• New sports included this year for the first time, swimming, VI football and wheelchair tennis

As Iceton adds: "There is no-one else out there doing what we are doing. For these kids it is their only opportunity to get involved in sport. However, we could do so much more if we had more investment."

Quite. If not Sport England, is there a philanthropic corporate sponsor with few bob to spare that hasn't already been spent on prawn sandwiches for the VIP punters in the hospitality boxes?

The All-London London Panathlon Final takes place on June 19 at Westway Sports Centre, 1 Crowthorne Road, London W10 6RP between 11am and 2.30pm.

Alan Hubbard is a sports columnist for The Independent on Sunday, and a former sports editor of The Observer. He has covered a total of 16 Summer and Winter Games, 10 Commonwealth Games, several football World Cups and world title fights from Atlanta to Zaire.

Tom Degun: Race for the IOC Presidency now very much underway

Tom Degun ITG2After years of discussing the successor to International Olympic Committee (IOC) President Jacques Rogge in the shadows, the candidates have started to emerge into the light as the crucial vote for the most powerful position in world sport looms closer.

The vote is due to take place on September 10 at the 125th IOC Session in Buenos Aires during a gathering that will also see the 2020 Olympic and Paralympic host city announced and a sport voted onto the programme for those Games (or if it is wrestling, retained).

But if you ask any IOC member in private, electing the ninth President of the Olympic Movement is by far the most important vote they feel they will cast in the Argentinian capital.

The man everyone is discussing as the favourite to succeed Rogge, who was elected at the Session in Moscow in 2001 to succeed Juan Antonio Samaranch, is Germany's Thomas Bach.

One of the worst kept secrets in the Olympic Movement finally came out last week when the Montreal 1976 fencing champion became the first candidate to officially declare that he will stand to replace Rogge at a hastily organised press conference in Frankfurt.

Bach has been talked about as the most likely successor Rogge for several years but the status of early front-runner is not always a good thing in a race such as this and the German no longer appears overwhelming favourite he was just six months ago.
 
Thomas Bach with RoggeThomas Bach was the first candidate to officially declare that he will stand to replace Jacque Rogge as IOC President

The favourite he probably remains though, largely because the IOC is a Eurocentric organisation with 43 of the current 101 IOC members hailing from the continent and seven of the eight Presidents so far having come from Europe; the exception being American Avery Brundage, who served from 1952 to 1972.

But even if some of the media are already proclaiming him the victor, Bach knows it will be the 100 other IOC members that will be of sole importance to his bid.

"It is very much about convincing the individual members rather than the worldwide public at large," Bach said upon unveiling his candidacy, clearly aware that the majority of those who have installed him a favourite, including several bookmakers, are completely irrelevant.

Next on the list is Singapore's Ng Ser Miang, yesterday became the second candidate to officially declare that he will stand to replace Rogge with a press conference in Paris.

This, though, wasn't any old press conference.

Ng's cleverly constructed gathering took place at Paris-Sorbonne University; the exact location where the founder of the Modern Olympics Baron Pierre de Coubertin held the first ever Olympic Congress in 1894 in a historic gathering that led to the revival of Games in Athens two years later.

Coubertin was the longest serving IOC President, holding the position for 29 years from 1896 to 1925, and in his bid to become the Frenchman's latest successor, Ng unveiled a vision that the founder of the Modern Olympics would be proud of.
 
Ng Ser Miang ParisNg Ser Miang announced he will stand to become the next IOC President at Paris-Sorbonne University where Baron Pierre de Coubertin held the first ever Olympic Congress in 1894

Ng spoke most prominently on youth, saying: "We must harness the collective power of Olympism for the benefit of the world's youth - and we must refocus our efforts on the education of youth through the values of sport, for they are tomorrow's living Olympic legacies."

Already he is sending out his manifesto to the IOC members and that coupled with the symbolic location of the announcement, shows he was perhaps more prepared than Bach, whose Frankfurt press conference was rather rushed and who is still drafting up the final points of his own manifesto, which won't be made available to the members until next month.

Having been quietly collecting the promise of crucial votes over the last few years, he is certainly one to be watched closely, and one to be feared by his rivals.

Next up comes International Boxing Association (AIBA) President C K Wu, who will declare next week in his native Taiwan that he will enter the race.

Wu has given the decision some thought, with his manifesto already complete, and he will be the longest serving IOC member in the race following his entry into the organisation in 1988 some 25 years ago.
 
Wu with RoggeC K Wu is considered the “dark-horse” to replace Jacques Rogge as IOC President

Wu's vision contains his particularly strong on his commitment to the cultural and educational aspects of the Olympic Games and he will be hoping that his manifesto will convince the IOC members to get behind him.

He will also look to illustrate the impressive work he has done with boxing since taking over as AIBA President in 2006, particularly for his role in spearheading the successful campaign to get women boxers competing at the Olympic Games.

Female fighters made their Olympic debut at London 2012, in what was widely seen as the best boxing competition in the history of the Games.

His problem could be causing a split Asian vote with Ng, something that would play into the hands of the other candidates, and he remains the "dark-horse" in the race. But right now, that is no bad place to be.

There are just two other that are likely to move before the deadline for declaration of candidacies on June 10.

The first is Puerto Rico's Richard Carrion, the man dubbed the banker of the Olympic Movement due to his role as chair of both the IOC Finance Commission and Audit Commission.

It is Carrion who has spearheaded the hugely lucrative major deals the IOC has done in the last decade and any manifesto of his will no doubt underline that the financial stability of the organisation would be very much secure under his Presidency.

Richard CarrionRichard Carrion is considered the banker of the Olympic Movement due to his role as chair of both the IOC Finance Commission and Audit Commission

Finally we comes to Sergey Bubka, the pole vault legend who won every single major honour in his sport and who still holds the world record.

Bubka has shown himself to be an astute political mover and is best known as vice-president International Association of Athletics Federations (IAAF), with many previously believing that his primary focus was the top job in that organisation.

However, Bubka claims to have received strong backing to move for the IOC Presidency from a number of senior figures, and at 49-years-old, he will be by far the youngest candidate in the race.

He therefore hopes to demonstrate a real affiliation with youth and to give the Olympic Movement a figurehead who has the physic, looks and style of an elite athlete near his prime.

Sergey Bubka 2Sergey Bubka is set to be the youngest contender in the race to become the ninth IOC President at 49-years-old

What is the most fascinating part of this race is that is nearly impossible to speculate because it will be just 101 IOC members deciding the new President in a secret vote.

In fact, less than that given that some members will not attend the Session in Buenos Aires, some will abstain from voting and the candidates themselves will be ineligible from voting until they are eliminated from the race as it is carried out.

So dubbing anyone "favourite" is a little pointless and the candidates will know that.

Their job is simply to convince their IOC peers that they are the best person to take on the most powerful position in world sport.

Tom Degun is a reporter for insidethegames. To follow him on Twitter click here.

Mike Rowbottom: Farewell Eriksson – will Britain's loss be Canada's gain?

Mike Rowbottom

mikepoloneckEarly in 2009 I rang Peter Eriksson when he was at his home in Ottawa - to which he is presumably returning once he has seen through his truncated duties as head coach for UK Athletics, a position he has just announced he will be leaving at some point this year despite having signed a five-year contract.

At that time the Swede was about to take up position as head coach for Britain's Paralympic track and field athletes, with the London 2012 Games looming, and his thoughts on the task ahead proved to be highly relevant to the results he went on to achieve.

As Eriksson was due to be working with the then head coach of the Olympic athletics team, Charles van Commenee, I mentioned to him the incident at the 2004 Athens Games which did much to define the Dutchman's "4-real" status as a coach when he reduced his heptathlete Kelly Sotherton to tears and called her "a wimp" after she had narrowly failed to win silver rather than bronze.

The Swede gave a chuckle that came all the way down the line - or whatever it is these days - from Canada, before announcing: "I don't think that's my style."

But as he explained his approach to what was due to become an increasingly high-profile task in the course of the following three years, it became clear that Eriksson was hardly likely to be a less exacting taskmaster than the Dutchman.

Peter Eriksson outside UK AthleticsPeter Eriksson has announced he will step down from his job as head coach for UK Athletics because of family reasons

"I want to make sure the team performs better in 2012 and beyond. I think there's a lot of things we can do that are going to make a difference. We have to look at ourselves and say: 'What do we need to do to win more medals?'

"We have to ask if athletes have medal potential or whether they need to be replaced by up-and-coming talents. We need to make sure they have the right support, the right coach. Whatever we can do to help them we will do.

"But UK Sport is investing in medals, not subsidising athletes. Everybody has to be sure of what is expected of them. If athletes can't live up to the expectations that have been set then this is not the place to be."

Eriksson made it clear that two of the major factors which had persuaded him to take up his British task were the leadership within UK Athletics, and - frankly - the fact that Britain's performance at the next Paralympics could only get better.

"When I looked at Britain's medal count at the last two Paralympics I was surprised they were not higher up the rankings," Eriksson said.

"We will be optimising our performance by 2012, but what we doing 2016 could be the biggest definition. In the long term, Britain should be up in the top three medal positions. There is no doubt about that. To do that, if Beijing was anything to go by, we will need to be winning more than 25 medals.

"The medal history for the UK has gone backwards a little bit. In 2000 the count was 47 medals. In 2004 the total was 17, and it was the same in Beijing.

"Britain shouldn't be in that position, and that is something I have wondered about for a while. Why did it drop down so much? In the past there have been more medal events to contest, which may be a factor. But it doesn't mean Britain should go from 47 medals to 17. This is a challenge."

As we have seen, Eriksson rose to that challenge exceptionally well. The London 2012 Paralympic performance in athletics rose sharply as home athletes rose to the task of producing peak efforts in front of packed crowds.

daveweirlondon2012maraparlDavid Weir wins his fourth gold of the London Paralympics, where the host athletes won 11 golds and 29 medals

Standing in the Mall after David Weir had won the wheelchair marathon, Eriksson was asked to reflect upon the British Paralympian's performance. He was clearly satisfied - but as he recalled the medals which had been won it had to be pointed out to him by those press gathered around him that he had forgotten a couple of golds. Such riches...

In the end Britain's Paralympic track and field athletes managed that task of finishing third overall in the table, with 29 medals, of which 11 were gold. Weir, who contributed four of those golds, had been the only athletics gold medallist for Britain at the previous Paralympics.

The measure of Eriksson's achievements is the measure of how greatly he will be missed by UK Athletics as they look ahead to the Rio 2016 Games. In his case, the usual politician's line about resigning in order to spend more time with their family is actually true.

"Words cannot describe how disappointed I am to take this step," Eriksson saidd. "There is no bigger job in athletics anywhere in the world. "At present I have no plans, but I accept that if I am to take any other job in sport it will be a step down.

"Athletics in Great Britain receives the best possible support through the National Lottery, and that, coupled with the performance structure here means it is every coach's dream to hold this position.

"However, no job is more important than family and children, and personal circumstances mean that mine need me to be back in Canada."

The total budget for the Canadian athletes at the 2008 Paralympics was £350,000 ($530,000/€415,000) - almost 20 times less than the £6.6 million ($10.1 million/€7.8 million) of UK Sport funding earmarked for athletics in the Paralympic cycle leading to London 2012.

So Eriksson will know very well the relative limitations he might face in taking up a similar job in his adopted home. It looks, nevertheless, as if Britain's loss is about to become Canada's gain as he returns to the country where he has guided Canada's wheelchair athletes to 119 medals in seven Paralympics, most notably Canadian Chantal Petitclerc, who took five golds at both the Athens and Beijing Games.

And don't bet against him being effective again in a Paralympic or Olympic arena. As he said in 2009: "I'm competitive in everything I do."

Mike Rowbottom, one of Britain's most talented sportswriters, covered the London 2012 Olympics and Paralympics as chief feature writer for insidethegames, having covered the previous five summer Games, and four winter Games, for The Independent. He has worked for the Daily Mail, The Times, The Observer, The Sunday Correspondent and The Guardian. To follow him on Twitter click here.